As soon as the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle winner is past the post the ante-post quotes start to fly for the following seasons Champion Hurdle. That’s no surprise as it is the logical career progression that can and should take place.
The current Champion Hurdle betting features three out of the first four in the betting from last year’s Supreme but the overall record of the race as a guide to the Champion Hurdle is poor and that must cast a doubt on the aspirations those horses. Menorah, Dunguib and Oscar Whisky are all priced in the first six of the 2011 Champion Hurdle betting and touted as live hopes for the race.
That looks to give the Supreme runners a strong hand but since 1988 only Sublimity who was fourth in 2006 Supreme has gone on to win the Champion Hurdle the following season. Anyone with a Cheltenham free bet to place should bear this in mind.
Taking part in the Supreme does not quite spell curtains for any Champion Hurdle aspirations as , both Granville Again and Binocular have placed in the Supreme and won the Champion Hurdle two seasons later and Brave Inca and Hors La Loi III won both races but two three years apart respectively. Bula in 1971 was the last to do the back-to-back double and that must, from a statistical point of view in any case, cast doubts on the title aspirations of Menorah, Dunguib and Oscar Whisky. That said, anyone looking for racing tips will know that patterns are by no mean set in stone.
If there is a novice hurdle to follow into the Champion Hurdle then it would be the Neptune Investment Management Novices’ Hurdle and that gives Peddlers Cross the edge in an attempt to unseat the reigning Champion hurdler Binocular. The last four winners to take their chance in the Champion Hurdle that came from the Neptune posted two wins (Istabraq and Hardy Eustace) and two thirds (Danoli and French Holly).