There are six Grade One races that take place at the Aintree Grand National Meeting, two on each of the three days. Here we take a look at the dominant trends in those Grade One races on the opening day of the meeting which will act as an aid to winner finding.
The BGC Partners Liverpool Hurdle which opens the card has only been run since 2004 but already it has built up some dominant data patterns and anyone looking to place Grand National bets should bear this in mind.
Firstly, all seven winners had either won or been placed second at this meeting before, in fact last season’s winner Big Buck’s was recording his third win at the three-day meeting and he is likely to be a short-priced favourite for this year’s event especially as he fulfils the requirement of being a top four finisher in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle. Unsurprisingly the form from that race carries over well to the Aintree event. Another noticeable trait is that all seven winners have started in the first three in the betting, so if you are backing one of the longer priced individuals it may be more advisable to support them place only as we have not seen an upset in this yet. Those looking at the Grand National betting offers should remember this.
The second Grade One event on the Thursday comes up as the third race on the card at 3.10 – the Totesport Bowl. The Cheltenham Gold Cup is the obvious starting point for this race and although 19 of the 27 winners have run in the Gold Cup you need to be wary of that form working out exactly – look at last year when Imperial Commander was a huge disappointment and horses can come out of the Gold Cup looking fresh but still feeling the effects of a hard race there, so don’t write off the also rans from that particular race.
When looking at running styles for this particular race it pays to those who like to be front run or be ridden prominently on your side and many of the recent winners have been ridden in that way, a style that suits the Mildmay Course. If there is a group of runners to avoid it is the Irish runners, they have only had three winners in the 27 runnings and that average of one winner per decade is off putting.
Both of the Grade One races have some fairly solid trends that should pay to follow and put you on the road to profit on the opening day of the 2011 Grand National Meeting.