Due to the size and competitive nature of the field in the Grand National a horse with a double-figure starting price often wins the great race, but let’s take a look at some of the other statistics surrounding the betting on the John Smith’s Grand National.
Since 1961 only 10 individual horses have been returned at an SP of less than 10/1 – 2008 winner Comply Or Die (7/1) being the latest addition to the club. Even so, fancied horses have a fair record – since 1959, horses starting at 16/1 or under have won the race 33 times – so shocks are not as common as everyone thinks and it generally pays to have at least one of the fancied contenders on your side. Those looking at the Grand National betting offers should remember this.
Favourites have won eight of the last 50 Nationals, the recent ones being Hedgehunter in 2005, joint-favourite Comply Or Die in 2008, and last year’s winner Don’t Push It who shared the position at the head of the market with fourth placed Big Fella Thanks at 10/1.
The 2009 race saw the biggest shock for 42 years as the 100/1 chance Mon Mome ran out a 12-length winner over Comply Or Die who made a gallant effort to win back-to-back Grand Nationals. Overall there have been five 100/1 winners of the race, with consecutive winners at that price in 1928 and 1929 – tough times for punters there. In recent history three 100/1 chances have been placed – Over The Deel (1995), Camelot Knight (2007) and Philson Run, fourth in 2007. Those looking at the Grand National latest odds shouldn’t expect another big-price winner this year.
The shortest odds for winners in the Grand National’s history have been Poethlyn (1919) at 11/4, Huntsman (1862) at 3/1 and Roquefort (1885) at 100/30. However all of those prices were returned in the days when the race was less competitive than it is today and the Grand National favourite has not been sent off at less than 5/1 since 1975. In that year Red Rum was made the 7/2 favourite, unsurprisingly as he had won the last two runnings of the race and was now a real people’s horse but he was beaten 15-lengths into second by L’Esgcargot.
The shortest Grand National favourite ever was 1934 winner Golden Miller, after winning a fourth consecutive Gold Cup, he started at only 2/1 in 1935, however he failed to even finish the course, unseating his jockey at the 11th fence.